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KYIV, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Ukraine's military said on Monday it had struck one of Russia's main factories producing explosives for a wide variety of ammunition for the Russian armed forces as well as an oil terminal in occupied Crimea fueling Moscow's war effort. In a statement, Ukraine's military General Staff said "numerous explosions" were reported after the strike on the explosives factory, while a fire had broken out following the attack on the oil depot. (Reporting by Yuliia Dysa; Writing by Dan Peleschuk Editing by Gareth Jones)

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(Corrects centre-right to centre-left in paragraph 7) By Philip Blenkinsop BRUSSELS, Oct 6 (Reuters) – European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will face bids to remove her for the second time in three months when hard-right and left groups in the European Parliament present no-confidence motions this week. Although the motions of censure have almost no chance of reaching the two-thirds majority of votes required to unseat von der Leyen, they could expose more general disquiet over her leadership and destabilise the EU assembly, whose backing is required to pass legislation. The motions are set to be proposed on Monday by France's far right and hard left – Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, and Manon Aubry of France Unbowed – followed by von der Leyen's defence, and spots for leaders of all party groups. The votes take place on Thursday. For von der Leyen this is not a new experience. She also faced a no-confidence motion in July from mainly far-right lawmakers, which she comfortably survived. However, parties outside the mainstream have realised that triggering previously seldom-used censure motions is easy to achieve after the 2024 elections swelled the far right to more than 100 lawmakers, with only 72 required to back one. In the case of the left, it has also co-opted one lawmaker from the centre-left Socialist and Democrats group and several Greens. The two censure motions differ, the right's complaining about "misguided" green policies and a failure to address illegal migration, while the left's highlights the EU's inaction over Gaza. However, both sides agree that von der Leyen accepted an unbalanced tariff deal with the United States and that the Commission's proposed EU-Mercosur trade deal is a threat to farmers and the environment. Both will be put to votes in the parliament in the coming months, with the outcomes unclear. (Reporting by Philip Blenkinsop; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

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(Adds quotes from paragraph 3 on) LISBON, Oct 6 (Reuters) – The new governor of the Bank of Portugal, Alvaro Santos Pereira, said on Monday that monetary policy in the euro zone was entering a period of greater normalcy after a streak of interest rate cuts. Santos Pereira on Monday took over as governor of the country's central bank and member of the European Central Bank's governing council, succeeding Mario Centeno. He said that in recent years, various crises and shocks "have forced euro area monetary policy to react and adapt to avoid their negative effects". The ECB has cut interest rates by 2 full percentage points in the year to June but has been on hold ever since. Policymakers are now debating whether to go even lower or level off at the current 2% rate, since inflation is now at target. "We are entering a period of greater normalcy in monetary policy, but many challenges remain," Santos Pereira said in his inauguration speech. He added that one of these challenges was defining the new framework for implementing monetary policy, "including how the new long-term liquidity operations will be carried out and how we will implement the new structural asset purchase program". (Reporting by Sergio Goncalves, writing by Andrei Khalip, editing by David Latona)

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(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.) * Futures up: Dow 0.15%, S&P 500 0.32%, Nasdaq 0.51% Oct 6 (Reuters) – U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday, building on gains from last week as a flurry of AI-related dealmaking and softer labor market trends bolstered expectations for an interest-rate cut. The resilience in equities came despite the federal government shutdown showing little signs of resolution, underscoring the persistent appetite for tech stocks and an increased focus on the upcoming earnings season for cues on the trajectory of the economy. "The current AI infrastructure buildout is structurally more durable than prior large cycles. It's funded by strong cash flows and AI adoption can happen without costly consumer device upgrades," BofA Securities senior analyst Vivek Arya said in a note. While the shutdown has delayed the release of the closely watched nonfarm payrolls report, a slew of alternative indicators last week pointed to tepid hiring, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting. With little else on the calendar today, traders lacking fresh catalysts will have to lean on that same data to guide near-term positioning. At 05:25 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 72 points, or 0.15%, U.S. S&P 500 E-minis climbed 21.5 points, or 0.32%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis rose 127.25 points, or 0.51%. Goldman Sachs expects the military pay date on October 15 to pressure lawmakers into ending their deadlock. If the shutdown stretches beyond that date, roughly 1.3 million uniformed military personnel would go unpaid, the brokerage said. However, even if a deal is reached, the timeline for releasing delayed data remains uncertain, increasing the likelihood that the Fed will be operating with limited visibility into the economy at its upcoming meeting. The third-quarter earnings season that kicks off next week will also test the durability of the rally. "The next two weeks of earnings are going to matter more than usual. There will be some economists that look for proxies for the government data. The most 'boots on the ground' data that the Fed is going to have is going to be the earnings data and the forecasts," said Arnim Holzer, global macro strategist at Easterly EAB. By the end of October, 68% of companies representing 72% of market cap will have reported, according to Goldman. Among stocks, Micron Technology rose 4% premarket after Morgan Stanley upgraded it to "overweight" from "equal weight". Crypto stocks gained with bitcoin near all-time highs. Coinbase Global rose 2.6%, Riot Platforms jumped 3.7% while MARA Holdings climbed 3.2%. (Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath)

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NEW DELHI/SINGAPORE, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Malaysia's Pengerang Refining Company shut both of its residual fluid catalytic cracking (RFCC) units last week, two sources familiar with the matter said, while it continued to offer residual fuel via tender. The Johor-based refiner is trying to bring the units, which typically upgrade residual fuels into higher-value products such as gasoline, back online this week, said one of the sources with direct knowledge of the matter. The company had offered 540,000 barrels of treated atmospheric residue for loading between October 12 and 13 in its latest tender, closing on October 7. Previously, it had sold four residual fuel cargoes for September loading and one cargo for early October loading. PRefChem, a joint venture between Malaysia's Petroliam Nasional Berhad (Petronas) and Saudi Aramco, operates the 300,000 barrel-per-day refinery. State-owned Petronas did not respond to a request for comment from Reuters. (Reporting by Mohi Narayan in New Delhi; Additional reporting by Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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DUBLIN, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Ireland will seek to raise between 1 and 1.5 billion euros in nine-year and thirty-year debt at a bond auction on Thursday, the National Treasury Management Agency said. Ireland has a relatively limited borrowing requirement this year due to its large cash balances and forecast budget surplus. It has so far raised 6.75 billion euros of its planned 6 billion to 10 billion euro funding range for the year. (Reporting by Graham Fahy; Editing by Andrew Cawthorne)

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* OPEC+ November supply hike stable from October at 137,000 bpd * Refinery maintenance to limit oil demand in Q4, analysts say * Weak demand outlooks in Q4 to also cap near-term gains (Adds comment and updates prices) By Seher Dareen LONDON, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Oil prices rose more than 1% on Monday after OPEC+'s planned production increase for November was more modest than expected, tempering some concerns about supply additions, though a soft outlook for demand is likely to cap near-term gains. Brent crude futures climbed nearly $1, or 1.5%, to $65.52 a barrel by 0905 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $61.83, up 95 cents, or about 1.6%. "The market was expecting a somewhat larger increase from OPEC+ as shown in the structure last week," said Janiv Shah, an analyst at Rystad. "However the modest 137,000 bpd bloats the already-oversupplied balance for the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2026." On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and some smaller producers said it would raise production from November by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd), matching October's figure, amid persistent concern over a looming supply glut. In the run-up to the meeting, sources said although Russia was advocating for an increase of 137,000 bpd to avoid pressuring prices, Saudi Arabia would have preferred double, triple or even four times that to quickly regain market share. The modest production update also comes at a time of rising Venezuelan exports, the resumption of Kurdish oil flows via Turkey, and the presence of unsold Middle Eastern barrels for November loading, PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga said. Saudi Arabia kept unchanged the official selling price for the Arab Light crude it sells to Asia. While refining sources in Asia surveyed by Reuters had expected a slight increase, those expectations diminished as concerns about rising Middle Eastern crude supply felled the premium to a 22-month low last week. In the near term, some analysts expect the refinery maintenance season starting soon in the Middle East to also help cap prices. Rystad's Shah added that Chinese stockpiling of oil, along with the geopolitical risk premiums and inefficient trade routes and sanctions, were also supporting the benchmarks. Expectations of weak demand fundamentals in the fourth quarter are another factor limiting the market's upside. U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories rose more than expected in the week ended September 26 as refining activity and demand softened, the Energy Information Administration said last week, with total product supplied – a proxy for demand – falling by 627,000 barrels per day in that week. "If we see a steadier rise in production then the downside in oil prices may be contained. Much now depends on whether the U.S. economy can reaccelerate over the rest of 2025 and into 2026, which would help demand immensely," said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG Group. (Reporting by Seher Dareen in London, Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Edwina Gibbs, Clarence Fernandez and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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MORE THAN A QUARTER OF ENTIRE UNHCHR WORKFORCE HAS LOST THEIR JOBS, MORE EXPECTED DUE TO FUNDING CUTS, SAYS UNHCR HIGH COMMISSIONER FILIPPO GRANDI

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FAR-RIGHT NATIONAL RALLY'S MARINE LE PEN: ONLY FEASIBLE OPTION IS NEW PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS

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(Adds detail, quotes, discussion about euro strength, vice president's quote) FRANKFURT, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Shifts in the risk profile of euro zone inflation will impact ECB policy decisions and a rise in the chance of undershooting the target would firm the case for a 'slight' reduction in borrowing costs, ECB chief economist Philip Lane said on Monday. The ECB has cut interest rates by 2 full percentage points in the year to June but has been on hold ever since and policymakers are now debating whether to go even lower or level off at the current 2% rate since inflation is now at target. "Shifts in the risk distribution will also matter for our rate decisions: an increase in the likelihood or intensity of downside risk factors would strengthen the case that a slightly-lower policy rate might better protect the medium-term inflation target," Lane said in a speech in Frankfurt. "Alternatively, an increase in the likelihood or intensity of upside risk factors would indicate that maintaining the current policy rate would be appropriate in the near term," he added. Financial markets see almost no chance of another rate cut this year and comments from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos only firmed those expectations. "We could say that risks for inflation are balanced and that our projections, which showed that the price stability objective can be secured in some way, are being fulfilled to some degree," de Guindos told an event in Madrid. "We consider the current level (of interest rates) to be appropriate based on recent inflation trends," he said. But the jury is still out. Some policymakers fear that the full extent of U.S. tariffs is yet to be felt and a strong euro will hurt exporters while pulling overall inflation below the ECB's 2% target. Lane noted that the stronger euro has a multi-year impact on both activity and inflation, and the underlying reasons for the currency movement impact the extent of the price shock. "These effects will be larger than the average if euro appreciation is more due to external factors, such as weakness in main trading partners or portfolio rebalancing due to an increase in the risk premium in overseas financial markets," he said. The euro is up 13% on the dollar since the start of the year as investors reduced their dollar holdings due to concerns about erratic U.S. economic policy. (Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Kirsten Donovan, Alexandra Hudson)

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